Category IV · Critical & future minerals

Cobalt.

Key cathode metal. DRC supply concentration risk drives diversification investment globally.

Benchmark

LME cash settlement

Unit

US$ / tonne

Current price · 3-mo forward avg

US$ 30,500 / tonne

Apr — Jul 2026 (forward 3-mo avg)

Key cathode metal. DRC supply concentration risk drives diversification investment globally.

Price · LME cash settlement

2016 — 2035

2016201820202022202420262028203020322035020k40k60k80kUS$ / tonneProjection →

Solid line: historical annual averages. Dashed line: forward projections (consensus).

Top 5 producing countries

  1. 01

    DRC

    70%

    Copperbelt — single largest source globally

  2. 02

    Indonesia

    9%

    Nickel-laterite HPAL co-product

  3. 03

    Russia

    4%

    Norilsk Nickel

  4. 04

    Australia

    3%

    Murrin Murrin & nickel co-products

  5. 05

    Philippines

    3%

    Lateritic nickel-cobalt deposits

Leading companies

  1. 01

    Glencore

    Largest non-Chinese cobalt producer (DRC: KCC, Mutanda)

  2. 02

    CMOC (China Molybdenum)

    Tenke Fungurume (DRC) operator

  3. 03

    Eurasian Resources Group (ERG)

    Metalkol DRC tailings retreatment

  4. 04

    Norilsk Nickel

    Russian by-product producer

  5. 05

    Vale

    Indonesian and Canadian operations

Of note

  • §

    DRC supplies ~70% of global cobalt — the highest single-country concentration of any critical mineral.

  • §

    Battery chemistry is evolving away from cobalt (LFP rising) — though high-energy-density NMC retains material cobalt demand.

  • §

    Western policy (US DPA, EU CRMA) is funding non-DRC supply diversification.

Sources

USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries 2024 · Cobalt Institute. Curated quarterly. Forward projections are consensus indications and are not a guarantee of future prices.

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